Time to Stop and Think

OK, we had our fun counting coup, if felt good alright, I like it when the US has a muscular foreign policy. But maybe it’s time to be serious. Unless we’re stupid, there’s no real reason to fight a war against Iran. I have no doubt that we would defeat them. probably fairly easily but why? Because they talk nasty about us? Really? And you know, there must be some saner heads in Teheran as well. The best I’ve seen on this is from Seraphim Hanisch in The Duran.

Life often imitates Art, and Art often imitates Life. If this is held to be true, then one can deduce that the recent “fury” of Iran’s blustery rhetoric is an indication of futility for that nation’s leadership. While it is possible that this is wrong, here are some reasons that in many ways the world community views this latest situation with Iran and the United States as just another day at the office.

News outlets in the US, both liberal and conservative are beating the war drums with extraordinary irresponsibility.

Remember how it was before Iraq? Just like this. They attacked our embassy, we killed a high general of theirs. That should be the end of it. We do not need to fight a war for this nonsense.

As far as reporting real news goes, the story is far more and far less.

It is far less because while the leaderships of Iran and the United States are verbally posturing to show strength (with the media acting as accomplices in this for both sides, mostly), the drama and attention are stirred up, but at the same time, that is sufficient. There does not need to be a shooting war.

That is a good thing for both sides, because the United States will not attack Iran unless Iran attacks first. Since there has been an agreement in place in Iraq for US troops to be there, this makes the relationship very dicey. The killing (some say murder, and I cannot entirely disagree here) of General Soleimani is certainly a massive provocation. But while the US forces were being left alone by Iranian military in the region there was no cause for hostility. The attack on the US Embassy in Baghdad was an attack on sovereign US soil. This was an increase in hostility from the Iranian side that the American forces have not done, and in fact, have been very restrained from doing.

However, since the embassy is surrounded by Iraq and Iran is welcome, apparently the lines seemed fuzzy enough to the Iranian side to go ahead and try this. And for that they lost their top general.

Now, I write this as pragmatically as possible. I have no beef with the Iranian people or its government, but I cannot help notice that their governmet definitely has a gripe with the US. The most recent direct grievance I have received from sources in Iran suggest that the anger is over the severe sanctions and departure from the 5+1 deal known as the JCPoA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action), put in force by President Obama, which allows Iran to effectively mark time in their nuclear development programs. The conservative side in American politics strongly believes that Iran intends to produce a viable nuclear weapon, and the JCPoA was a miserable failure at preventing this; all it did was slow the process slightly and open a lot of financial pathways to Iran.

From the Iranian side the sanctions do appear to be very harsh, and unlike Russia, which has turned US sanctions against it to its own advantage, Iran’s government seems more interested in trying to get its way through bluster and rage, rather than negotiations. It is understandable that with America’s foreign policy record being severely dominated by the interests of globalists and the military-industrial complex, Iran has every right to be quite reticent to just go and try negotiations with the nation that has personified “indian giving” in so many ways. We get this.

But at the same time, President Trump has shown the world that he means business when he says he wants America out of foreign wars. Granted, his advisers are full of people that think wars are for fun and profit. But he demonstrated first with Kim Jong-un, later in Syria with the amazing rocket attack that hurt nothing, more recently with the pullout in norther Syria and with the present boiling crisis in his warning:

That is obviously true. Trump is doing his best (against a lot of resistance in Washington) to disentangle us from all this garbage in the middle east. Perhaps it made sense when we had to import oil (although I’m not very sure of that) but it surely does not make a scintilla of sense now. Time to come home, refit and have a look at the Chinese.

Another piece of the puzzle is Russia. Russia has maintained good relations with Iran for decades, and it still does. However, just in the last week, the Kremlin released their “readout” of a phone call initiated by President Vladimir Putin to President Trump, thanking the American president for his country’s help in thwarting terrorist attacks in Russia. The terror attacks are from ISIS or related groups, and ostensibly we are dealing with Islamism. Iran has a problem when it relates its fury against the United States to Islam, because Russia, while having very peaceful interrelations between Muslims and Christians in its own territory, is committed to preserving Christianity everywhere. If Iran tries to make a serious move against the United States, it creates a real problem for Russia, which has been quietly working together with the US to improve relations, if only painfully slowly.

Read the rest, I think he makes a good case.

Think about that. I’ve been saying for years that I don’t see Russia as an enemy (any more). The Soviet Union is gone and buried. What is there is a Russia that wants to compete. No, it’s not a recognizable democracy, it never has been. For many years before 1917, we considered Russia a friend. I wouldn’ go that far, but at worst they are a competitor.

We need more rationality and less saber-rattling, especially from the Iranians, but from Washington as well.

About Neo
Lineman, Electrician, Industrial Control technician, Staking Engineer, Inspector, Quality Assurance Manager, Chief Operations Officer

3 Responses to Time to Stop and Think

  1. audremyers says:

    Interesting article.

    I’m not paying any attention to declarations from Iran. They are the statements of little boys playing army. They know they haven’t a hope in hell against us; neither Russia nor China is ready for a shot at the ‘big boy’, whatever their secret aspirations may be.

    Iran will continue to do what Iran has always done – little pockets of death in various areas and someone will come in and mop them up and send them on their way (either heaven-ward or home-ward).

    War is a huge, gigantic word. The better word may be ‘squirmish’ or, perhaps, annoyance. But war? Not today. Not with them. We used to know what war meant; that meaning seems to have been lost along with a lot of our real, actual history.

    Liked by 1 person

    • NEO says:

      Yep, and I think that is rather his point, as it is mine. If I thought it justified a war (and I don’t) then it would justify a war like Serman through Georgia, not a minor force playing cowboys and indians forever and making contractors rich.

      The iranians? Yeah let’s see what the do, talk is very cheap.

      Liked by 1 person

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.