Guns of August, Redux

courtneyskiniSome may well call this a fantasy, but is it? Or is it what happens when America takes the gloves off, and decides some more winning is in order.

“On July 29th 20 Iran successfully launches a Shahab rocket and orbiting satellite, proving it has a formidable functioning delivery vehicle, then announces it has produced sufficient fissionable material at its Natanz facility to build two nuclear bombs in 2017 and begins work on underground test facilities in the basalt formations beneath the great salt desert of Dacht-e-Kavir.

Supreme Leader Ali Khameini announces boldly that his nation has manufactured weapons-grade fissionable material enriched to nearly 100% (in lieu of 5% enrichment for peaceful nuclear reactors).

Two days later Great Satan launches the most audacious regional series of regime changes ever implemented in history, Officially dubbed ‘Operation Boundless Freedom” Allies and enemies alike refer to it as ‘Operation Great Satan”

3 Iranian submarines are destroyed – 1 in the Med, 1 in the Atlantic and 1 in the Indian Ocean. Another surrenders and defects near Barcelona.

Naval and air force assets at Bandar Abbas are hit with a combination of missiles and a French- Saudi Amphibious assault from Qatar and the UAE. Waves of Tomahawk cruise missiles streak through Persian aerospace from ships and subs – effectively targetting the Iranian air force – air fields, missile sites and air defense systems are struck down within hours.

Communications are totally co opted or overwhelmed cybernetically. B2 Stealth bombers sortee to to strike IRRGC command and control HQ’s.

“American warplanes and missiles carefully avoid striking research reactors in Teheran and Ispahan as well as the nuclear reactor at Bousher–less than 100 kilometers from Kuwait–as well as the centrifuges themselves at Natanz in an effort to prevent the spread of radioactive material to nearby population centers.

However, other missiles producing electromagnetic pulses do knock out
virtually all of Iran’s electric grid and computer systems”

Airborne troops from Great Britain and Great Satan sieze all passes through the Zagros mountains – effectively cutting Iran in half.

Special Forces strike and hold especial clerical compounds in Tehran and Qom right before Friday prayers. Nearly 20% of Iran’s ruling praetorian guards and mullahs are captured, killed or missing by breakfast time.

Armed insurgencies break out across Iran as ex and au currant MEK groups strike, sieze and hold towns and cities.

Great Satan’ s seaborne regime changing Marines hit the surf just north of the Litani river in Lebanon and methodically grind and leap frog straight through the heart of Hiz’B’AllahLand.

Known missile batteries and weapons caches (many in innocent civilian rich areas) are captured by chopper borne marines and French commandos or trashed.

HBA’s command complex in Beirut is clamped shut by heavily armed Marines after precision cruise missile strikes.
Al Manar – HBA’s ‘suicide channel’ seems to be co opted – running a marathon of “Queer Eye for the Straight Guy” in Arabic overdubs. All communications in the ME are totally wacked – from Bashar’s Al Sana network to Al Jazeera – regular programming has been replaced with the most outrageous cable quality programming Great Satan can jam like “Playboys Girls Next Door” and choice selections from ‘Girls Gone Wild’

Within 5 days, Iran is reduced to a state of near paralysis, unable in any sense to retaliate militarily, its entire economic infrastructure in shambles. By this time the largest armored division in history has left Iraq and “Old Ironsides” is within striking distance of a thunder run into downtown Tehran.

via GrEaT sAtAn”S gIrLfRiEnD: Guns Of August, more at the link.

Will it happen like that, of course not, this is a theoretical. But something very like it could happen if Iran pushes Donald Trump. He has given no indication, ever, that he plays to do anything but win. And a two-week war, followed by the other country starting to rebuild itself, and remember Iran under the Shah was a pretty secular place, and there are still lots of non-Moslems there, fits that description, I think.

You, of course, remember all the hand wringing back before the Iraq wars about Saddam’s vaunted troops, how good they were and how we would take enormous casualties, and how they had stood off Iran for a decade. Yeah, the answer is two words “Thunder Run”, or if you prefer “73 Easting”. That we’ve been thrashing around attempting to assassinate individual terrorists for a few years because of a lack of leadership, does not indicate that is all we can do.

And something else here, this version is from Great Satan’s Girlfriend, but the study was written by Francois Heisbourg. The bio states this:

For there are some extraordinary surprises in this consummate, if brief, but brilliantly conceived work by the man who is perhaps Europe’s leading global thinker–chairman of the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies, adviser to French presidents and ministers of defense and foreign affairs going back to Valery Giscard d’Estaing and top adviser to French arms makers from Thompson to Matra.

They Came in Peace: Beirut 1983

Photograph of President Reagan and Mrs. Reagan...

Photograph of President Reagan and Mrs. Reagan attending Memorial Service for Lebanon and Grenada casualty victims, Camp Lejeune, North Carolina: 11/04/1983 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

I started to write about the Beirut bombing of the marines back in 1983 several times and never got it to say what I wanted it to. Some of you may remember the situation, our marines were there to separate two factions in their civil war. But one of my favorite bloggers did, and so I’m going to let her tell you about it. In truth she was far closer to it than I was anyway as the wife of a Marine Officer.

She also makes a very valid point about command responsibility here. It is something that we need to make especial note of this election season, because we’ve found out what happens when the buck stops anywhere but the oval office.

So here is Cassandra of Villainous Company

They Came in Peace

Regimes planted by bayonets do not take root… Our military strength is a prerequisite to peace, but let it be clear we maintain this strength in the hope it will never be used, for the ultimate determinant in the struggle that’s now going on in the world will not be bombs and rockets but a test of wills and ideas, a trial of spiritual resolve, the values we hold, the beliefs we cherish, the ideals to which we are dedicated.

Ronald Reagan

Today is the 29th anniversary of the bombing of the Marine Barracks in Beirut, Lebanon.

In 1983 the blog princess was 24 and the spousal unit was a young 1st Lieutenant stationed in Camp Lejeune, North Carolina. We had just moved there with our two small sons, aged 4 and 1.

We bought our first home there; a three bedroom brick ranch affair in Brynn Marr. Marine life was still relatively new to two Navy juniors. I was busy planning activities with other Marine wives, terraforming our yard, sewing curtains and pillows and slipcovers and refinishing furniture in between long walks with two little boys and an incorrigible but loving beagle puppy. The spousal unit was working his way through the normal series of jobs in an artillery battalion. Life was slow paced – punctuated by field exercises and dinings in and out.

News of the Beirut bombing exploded like… well, a bomb into our peaceful existence. Suddenly, field exercises weren’t just training for some distant war that might never come.

In an instant, the abstract became terrifyingly real. But the truth is that time has fogged my memories of that long ago era. The armor of youth and inexperience insulated me from true grief or fear; with the invincibility of inexperience, I still believed in my heart of hearts that no harm would ever befall those I had come to love in this strange family affectionately known as Uncle Sam’s Misguided Children.

That knowledge was yet to come, repeated over and over again at Marine Balls where candles were lit, tears shed or stifled, and eyes averted from the empty place set at the table we shared.

I do, however, remember these words from our President:

“If there is to be blame, it properly rests here in this office, with this president,” Reagan said….

“Let me finally say that I have soberly consider the commission’s word about accountability and responsibility of authorities up and down the chain of command ….

“I do not believe, therefore, that the local commanders on the ground — men who have suffered quite enough — should be punished for not fully comprehending the nature of today’s terrorist threat. If there is to be blame it properly rests here in this office and with this president. And I accept the responsibility for the bad as well as the good.”

I didn’t read newspapers much then. I was far too busy keeping house and taking care of our little family. So I never delved too deeply into the whys and wherefores of what happened in Beirut. In 2002, the Presidential Oral History Program at the University of Virginia interviewed then-SecDef Casper Weinburger about the tragedy. It’s a sobering read, and a reminder of the heavy burden born by Presidents and of how terrifyingly easy it is to let our vigilance slip for a moment.

[…]

On this day, may we remember the men who protect the freedoms we enjoy. And their families, who have made the ultimate sacrifice.

T

Read the entire article Villainous Company: They Came in Peace.

May we indeed remember them, not only today but always.

Close the Border, Now

Hezbollah

Hezbollah Image by gianlucacostantini via Flickr

As if we needed another reason to close the southern border, now come news that the Mexican drug cartels are in partnership with Hezbollah. That’s just so peachy-keen. This is from Pro-Publica:

U.S. authorities are building a politically explosive case that Hezbollah, the Lebanese militant group, finances itself through a vast drug-smuggling network that links a Lebanese bank, a violent Mexican cartel and U.S. cocaine users.

Federal prosecutors Tuesday charged Ayman Joumaa, an accused Lebanese drug kingpin and Hezbollah financier, of smuggling tons of U.S.-bound cocaine and laundering hundreds of millions of dollars with the Zetas cartel of Mexico.

“Ayman Joumaa is one of top guys in the world at what he does: international drug trafficking and money laundering,” a U.S. anti-drug official said. “He has interaction with Hezbollah. There’s no indication that it’s ideological. It’s business.”

Well, I certainly find the last sentence a comfort, I’m glad that the Zetas cartel doesn’t let ideology interfere with making a buck.

Then there’s the fact that Hezbollah is pretty much controlled by Iran. They probably do let ideology interfere with making a buck.

Now a powerful partner in Lebanon’s government, Hezbollah presents itself as a legitimate political party and rejects allegations of terrorism. But Tuesday’s case reflects increasing concern that Hezbollah and its ally, Iran’s intelligence service, are expanding their presence in Latin America as conflict with the West intensifies over Iran’s nuclear program.

Hezbollah allegedly uses the cocaine trade to develop revenue and build foreign networks, according to U.S., European and Israeli officials. In October, the Justice Department charged an Iranian-American resident of Texas and two Iranian intelligence officers with plotting to hire Mexican cartel gunmen to assassinate the Saudi ambassador in Washington.

Then there is this from the Heritage Foundation’s The Foundry:

Noteworthy was a comment by Lebanon’s drug enforcement chief, Colonel Adel Mashmoushi, who stated that one path used by Hezbollah’s drug trafficking friends into Lebanon was “aboard a weekly Iranian-operated flight from Venezuela to Damascus and then over the border [from Syria].” The air bridge between Caracas and Tehran has long been a significant security concern.

The indictment of Joumaa and further revelations regarding the important role of LCB come in the wake of last week’s Univision investigation of the role of Iran, including the growth of Hezbollah, in the Americas and the threat of Iranian cyber-attacks against the United States. Members of both houses of Congress have demanded or promised further probes into the allegations.

Nice to have friends in high places, isn’t it?

And finally from the New York Times  via Great Satan’s Girlfriend:

SINCE the mid-1980s, the militant groups Hezbollah and Hamas have tirelessly pursued armed resistance against Israel in the name of liberating Palestine — often with enormous Arab popular support.

But when a so-called resistance movement fails to support a bottom-up popular revolt against a tyrant, its leaders expose themselves as hypocrites.

That is precisely what is happening to Hezbollah. Faced with the Syrian people’s uprising against President Bashar al-Assad and a democratic tsunami sweeping the Middle East, Hezbollah’s alignment with Mr. Assad is destroying its reputation across the Arab world.

Poor Hezbollah, having to choose between the subjugation of, and killing of in the steets of Damascus, their fans or making a buck. Life’s not fair.

All things considered, I think it might be a (very) good idea to disrupt this line of communication. You know, act in our own and our allies interest just this once.

%d bloggers like this: